On Tues. Watch Arizona, N. Carolina, & Georgia; the New Swing States
Georgia, N. Carolina, and Arizona have been trending from red to blue for some time and Republicans can no longer take them for granted. With just 48 hours until election day, Joe Biden has small polling leads in each, but within the margin of error. Their importance this year can't be overstated, because even if Donald Trump wins Ohio and Texas and pulls off a comeback in both Florida and Pennsylvania, Joe Biden will probably still win if he can capture any of these three states. Here is a bit of information and the current polling averages for each:
Arizona voted for Trump by about 5 points in 2016, and Mitt Romney won it by 10 points in 2012. However, the state is slowly becoming more ethnically diverse and Democratic Senate candidate Kyrsten Sinema won the state by a narrow margin in 2018. Former AZ Sen. Jeff Flake recently predicted that if Biden capturers the state, he will win the election.
Current Polling Averages: Biden 49%, Trump 46%
Georgia is part of the old South that has been the most reliable Republican base since the end of segregation, and it wasn't that long ago that George W Bush won the state by 17 points over John Kerry in 2004. However, Georgia is slowly changing as more highly educated transplants move into the Atlanta area, the business and technology hub of the South.
If Joe Biden pulls off an upset here, he will also have Stacey Abrams to thank. After her very narrow loss in the 2018 gubernatorial race, she registered more than 800,000 new voters in the state through her group Fair Fight, a voter rights organization.
Current Polling Averages: Biden 48.4%, Trump 46.8%
North Carolina had been reliably Republican for decades following the end of segregation in the South, but over the last three presidential elections it has looked a bit more like a swing state. Obama carried it by a small margin in 2008. However, it swung back in 2012 and Trump won the state by 3% over Hillary Clinton in 2016. It's going to be close again this year.
Current Polling Averages: Biden 49.2%, 46.6%
The current polling averages in all three of these states are within the margin of error. However, if Joe Biden captures just one of these GOP strongholds, he will probably be our next president.
By: Don Lam & Curated Content
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