Trump is Very Unpopular Nationally, But He Could Still Pull Off an Electoral College Victory

Two recent polls demonstrate how Donald Trump could win re-election next year in the Electoral College while losing the popular vote by a landslide.

Washington Post: “One year out from the 2020 election, President Trump trails some potential Democratic rivals in head-to-head matchups, with his national support level currently fixed at about 40%:” according to a Washington Post-ABC News poll.
“Joe Biden, Sen. Bernie Sanders and Sen. Elizabeth Warren run strongest against the president nationally, with Biden leading by 17 points (56% to 39%), Warren by 15 points (55% to 40%) and Sanders by 14 points (55% to 41%)."

However, the election won't be decided nationally and the President is tied [within the margin of error] in three battleground states [Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin] that Democrats lost in 2016 and almost certainly have to win back. A new poll released Monday by The New York Times and Siena College show that among likely voters Trump is within the margin of error in all three of those states against Joe Biden, Sen. Bernie Sanders and Sen. Elizabeth Warren. If Trump can capture any of those three states, and Democrats are unable to break through in Florida, N. Carolina, Georgia or Arizona, Trump would be re-elected.

Anyone who thinks that Donald Trump could not possibly be re-elected is engaging in wishful thinking. As things stand right now, he has a narrow but viable path to re-election, even if he loses the popular vote by double digits, by focusing his resources on a handful of battleground states. It would be the least "democratic" election in American history, but that is unlikely to bother Donald Trump or his supporters.

#news #polls

By: Don Lam & Curated Content


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