New Polling Data Shows a Growing Lead for Biden, & Trump Plummeting in Battleground States

In all the recent national polls, former Vice-President Joe Biden is far ahead of Donald Trump, and yesterday the New York Times/Siena College survey found that Biden's lead had widened to 14 percentage points, 50% to 36%. Both Fox News and CNN found similar margins in their most recent national polls.

The survey results demonstrate, among other things, that few believe that President Trump is capable of handling the coronavirus pandemic or the unrest leading from the killing of George Floyd by police in Minneapolis.

New York Times: "But among a striking cross-section of voters, the distaste for Mr. Trump has deepened as his administration failed to stop a deadly disease that crippled the economy and then as he responded to a wave of racial-justice protests with angry bluster and militaristic threats. The dominant picture that emerges from the poll is of a country ready to reject a president whom a strong majority of voters regard as failing the greatest tests confronting his administration."

And, according to polling by NYT/Siena College, Joe Biden continues to extend his lead in the battleground states of Michigan 47-36%, Wisconsin 49-38%, Pennsylvania 50-40%, Florida 47-41%, Arizona 48-41%, and North Carolina 49-40%.

In examining the data, President Trump only leads among one demographic group, "white men without a college education." Biden shows growing strength with women, minorities, and younger voters. Biden has even pulled even with Trump among voters older that 50.

President Trump's numbers are likely to rebound a bit as Covid-19 fades this summer and social justice protests wane, but it's difficult to see how he can amass more than 44 or 45% of the vote nationwide in November. His average approval rating is hovering around 42% and several recent polls pegged it at 39%. Moreover, Democrats now have an 8 point lead in the "Generic Congressional Ballot," which is probably an even better barometer of how Americans are feeling about the upcoming election. That 8 point advantage for Democrats is a bit better than they had just prior to 2018's "Blue Wave" election which allowed them to recapture the House of Representatives and many state offices.

#research #polling #news #2020election

By: Don Lam & Curated Content


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